Saturday, February 24, 2007

What is happening with Mr Oei, Novena and TT International?

The main players
- Mr Oei Hong Leong thru' its Foundation
- Novena Holdings - in the furniture business
- TT International - famous for its Akira branded electronics

Sequence of Events
11 Dec 2006 - Novena bought 98 Pasir Panjang for $13.5mio.
11 Jan 2007 - Novena bought 100 Pasir Panjang for $14mio.

22 Jan 2007 - Mr Oei bought the 2 properties from Novena. Novena got $2.3mio pure cash and profit.

21 Jan 2007
- Mr Oei sold its 20mio shares in Tung Lok to Novena. Novena paid Mr Oei with 10.3mio new Novena shares.
- Mr Oei will further buy 27mio new Novena shares @30cts ie. $8.1mio cash.
- Based on my calculation, Mr Oei would be a substantial shareholder with about 25% stake in Novena.

21 Feb 2007
- About a month later, Novena announced the sale of some of its furniture business to TT International for $13.5mio cash.
- In the same breath, Novena will buy about 18.3mio of TT International shares @20cts. Novena would effectively return about $3.6mio of the $13.5mio back to TT.
- At the end of it, Novena would own about 14% of TT Intl.

What does the whole series of activities mean to each player?
- Mr Oei have purchased 2 properties (not sure whether they are adjacent to each other) for $29.8mio. He also got rid of Tung Lok shares for a stake in Novena and TT International.

- Novena made $2.3mio from the property deals. Novena got about $10mio cash from selling part of its furniture business. Total cash inflow - about $13mio.

- TT International paid about $10mio for Novena's retail assets. Could we see TT transforming itself into a Court or Harvey Norman by marrying furniture with Akira range?

Well all the players have been and will be very busy to make the deals work for ALL shareholders to come.

Useful info from today's ST

Friends,

The following is an illustration of how reading the newspaper can be an important and probably prosperous exercise everyday.

I will be referring to page S25, S28 and S29 of today's Straits Times.

1. "Singapore Land's profit rises 12%"
For the YE 31 Dec 2006, EPS is 24.3cts. (Thus PE ratio is 42x)
Group Net Asset Value (GNAV) - $7.50 against Friday's closing of $10.10.
Proposed dividend of 45cts.
This would give a gross dividend yield of 4.4% at current share price.

2. "TeckWah lifts net gain to $8m"
EPS - 3.65cts
Yesterday closing share price - 21cts.
Thus PE ratio - 5.7x
NAV - 37.9cts
My assessment - Relatively low PE with NAV > current share price ==> relatively attractive

3. "UIC's gain more than doubles to $492mio"
EPS - 35.7cts
Yesterday closing share price - $2.57
PE ratio - 7.2x
GNAV - $1.77
Proposed dividend - 9cts
My assessment - Attractive PE ratio against gross dividend yield of 3.5%. Negative - $2.57 share price > GNAV.

Disclaimer - My above assessment is purely from my simple reading of articles in the papers. This is to illustrate that precious info are available if you know where to look for them.

I have no position in all of the above counters.

Sunday, February 04, 2007

HG Metal - Theoretical price after Ex-All

Hi investing friends,

HG Metal's offer on dividends and rights issue wil go ex-all on Monday.

Just want to present the calculation to arrive at the theoretical price after ex-all.

Based on Friday's closing of 54cts and 2-for-5 rights issue @20cts,

Cost of purchasing 5 shares @54cts - $2.70
Cost of 2 rights shares @20cts - $0.40
Total costs of getting 7 shares would be $3.10.
This would give you a theoretical ex-all price of 44cts.

P/S - Computation excludes brokerage costs.
P/S - Edgar does not have any HG Metal share.