Thursday, May 31, 2007

Back-door Listings

P/S - Are you here?

Rowsley Limited
On May 2, 2007, Rowsley announced the acquisition of $2.7bio Chinese solar firm which will lead to a reverse takeover.

A few weeks later, the company presented a massive loss of $21.5mio the financial results for year ended Mar 31, 2007.

Eng Wah Organisation
Last week, Eng Wah announced it would be bought out by a Japanese biotechnology firm for $675mio which will lead to a reverse takeover.

In today's paper, Eng Wah and its Crazy Horse escapade reported a net loss of $10.6mio.

What is a reverse takeover?
On paper, I am buying you but actually you are cleaning me out. [Remember - substance over form.]

Did the losses in the respective company mentioned above signal to its management that their existing business is deep trouble? I guess Eng Wah had tried to do something about with Crazy Horse. I suspect that there is a huge sigh of relief (after months of emotional torture) when they finally decided to let the Crazy Horse go. An amazing $9.4mio of the $10.6mio loss reported is due to Crazy Horse.

Consequently, both companies are selling out of the final remaining asset ie. "Singapore-listed company status" to the Chinese and Japanese buyers.

P/S - I got no shares in both companies.

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Two headlines on Chinese markets - Severe concerns


"Investors should pare China holdings, analysts warn" and "China funds' values slide as foreigners flee" were the two headlines in Business Times about two weekends ago on Chinese stock markets.

Last week, Alan Greenspan, the RETIRED (but still talking alot openly)FED Chairman, warned the audience in a conference in Europe of the same issue. The markets have been in a negative mode hence.

How overvalued are domestically listed Chinese shares in the eyes of foreigners? As much as 16 per cent, based on two China equity funds for foreigners that trade at discounts to their underlying stocks.

Exchange-traded funds seldom trade at steep discounts except during times of turmoil as per experts.

As foreign investors increasingly question whether China's roaring stock market is heading for a crash, overseas-traded China funds which have more than doubled in value in the last year are now steeply discounted.

At the start of the year, the same funds traded at premiums of as much as 20 per cent above the value of their underlying stocks.

So what is the impact, if any, on regional bourses?
If there were any severe correction on the Chinese markets, we should expect knee-jerk reaction. But another report has highlighted that the Chinese meltdown, if any, should be viewed as limited to the Chinese markets or deemed as an internal affair.

So my friends, whichever way the storm could come, please tread in a measured way.

Thursday, May 17, 2007

STI ETF 100 - huh?????

On Apr 24, 2007, I bought my first lot of 100 shares of STI ETF 100 @$33.25.

Based on my memory, the market had experienced a correction of more than 100 points the day before. I took the opportunity to try out a new investment type ie an ETF.

As of May 18, 2007, the last traded price was $35.29. A $2 appreciation in less than a month. Good decision on the timing but not on the amount invested.

So what is an ETF?
ETF is an exchange-traded fund. For STI ETF, it invests in the component stocks of Straits Times Index according to the respective weightage.

What are the advantages?
  • It allows me to participate in the equity market at theoretically lower risk.
  • It spares me the need to comb through piles of brokers' recommendation.
  • It allows me to participate in the growth of a group of 50 companies representative of the Singapore economy.
  • My fortune is thus not tied to the fate and turbulence of a single company. Many of these companies are the bluest of the bluest chips counters.
  • I will receive dividends on dividends received from these companies.
  • Any fees payable to the fund manager? Nil. I only pay for the commission and fees as per buying and selling shares on the exchange. Thus in terms of costs against fund-manager-managed funds, ETF is definitely cheaper.
Are there any disadvantages?
  • I might experience liquidity issue ie. there could be occassions where there are no buyers or sellers at prevailing price. But in recent weeks, I must say liquidity has improved. Not sure whether it was due to a letter written about the higher volume done on ST index in overseas exchanges.
  • While I may have diversified away company-specific risks, I am still exposed to country-specific risk for STI ETF.

Unit trusts and Funds - What????

A reader said in a recent posting that shares are very volatile and thus asked me to write something about unit trusts.

Unit trusts or funds are financial vehicles where individuals can pool their monies to invest in certain sectors, themes, country etc at a specific risk profile.

Individuals essentially engaged fund managers to make investment decisions on their behalf.

For that, you have to pay them $$$. The annual fees are usually a percentage of funds under management, regardless whether the fund make money or not.

In addition to that annual fees, you may be required to pay a one-time marketing fee upfront when you first participate in the fund.

Volatility will still be around as it would depend on the type of unit trusts you have selected. Eg. you should have a higher appetite for risk for you to invest in technology funds as compared to investing in essential consumer product sector.

Wednesday, May 09, 2007

I lost money with AEM Holdings today

Dear fellow investors,

Today I am hit by another loss with my holding in AEM (my last big boo boo was China Aviation Oil).

Company requested for a trading halt this morning. Given last week's DBS Vickers' report earmarking AEM (among many others) as a potential target for acquisition, naturally I thought some deals would be announced along the same tune.

Guess what! The Company seeks a trading halt to announce that the Company is assisting with investigation by CPIB !

Upon resumption of trading, the counter dropped by about 20%. Edgar jumped off the cliff....

Why? Why? Why? Why?.................. and a big sigh....