Sunday, May 20, 2007

Two headlines on Chinese markets - Severe concerns


"Investors should pare China holdings, analysts warn" and "China funds' values slide as foreigners flee" were the two headlines in Business Times about two weekends ago on Chinese stock markets.

Last week, Alan Greenspan, the RETIRED (but still talking alot openly)FED Chairman, warned the audience in a conference in Europe of the same issue. The markets have been in a negative mode hence.

How overvalued are domestically listed Chinese shares in the eyes of foreigners? As much as 16 per cent, based on two China equity funds for foreigners that trade at discounts to their underlying stocks.

Exchange-traded funds seldom trade at steep discounts except during times of turmoil as per experts.

As foreign investors increasingly question whether China's roaring stock market is heading for a crash, overseas-traded China funds which have more than doubled in value in the last year are now steeply discounted.

At the start of the year, the same funds traded at premiums of as much as 20 per cent above the value of their underlying stocks.

So what is the impact, if any, on regional bourses?
If there were any severe correction on the Chinese markets, we should expect knee-jerk reaction. But another report has highlighted that the Chinese meltdown, if any, should be viewed as limited to the Chinese markets or deemed as an internal affair.

So my friends, whichever way the storm could come, please tread in a measured way.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi,
Hmmm, curious. where is this place Edgar? Have not seen this place before.